Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.557319 0.640840 0.732076 0.839068 0.961033 1.095668 1.255499
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.458155 0.576121 0.716225 0.894589 1.115327 1.379251 1.718497
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.379264 0.517801 0.695430 0.939131 1.264012 1.681376 2.257408
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.321241 0.473366 0.682727 0.990428 1.429501 2.031630 2.917954
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.265602 0.420447 0.648139 1.004932 1.547159 2.336860 3.570053
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.227983 0.385708 0.632280 1.042152 1.702066 2.717380 4.390349
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.189965 0.342335 0.594749 1.038348 1.792328 3.013395 5.128538
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.164181 0.313830 0.575471 1.059633 1.924760 3.393438 6.056749
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.137007 0.277197 0.535343 1.037242 1.977893 3.647941 6.810777
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.123350 0.262949 0.532514 1.080830 2.154093 4.138590 8.047449
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.113175 0.253445 0.536689 1.137760 2.363034 4.716000 9.522856
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.099520 0.233931 0.517510 1.144754 2.475001 5.125259 10.734386
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.086768 0.214133 0.494914 1.142223 2.570210 5.521006 11.988874
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.076133 0.196988 0.475007 1.142115 2.670732 5.942219 13.357820
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.067490 0.182803 0.459197 1.148443 2.786371 6.411399 14.895921
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.061327 0.173528 0.453184 1.176535 2.955820 7.020407 16.825272
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054158 0.160081 0.434588 1.170916 3.045130 7.462828 18.441803
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049535 0.152574 0.429589 1.198459 3.219194 8.123696 20.655822
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.043666 0.140237 0.409686 1.183789 3.284945 8.536740 22.335222
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.039788 0.132935 0.402103 1.200916 3.435818 9.177882 24.662592
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.034754 0.120931 0.379076 1.171059 3.456419 9.495125 26.216717
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.032720 0.118087 0.382179 1.216840 3.692692 10.400088 29.415432
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.031279 0.116908 0.390104 1.278388 3.983448 11.487808 33.243021